Hydrohistorian
Full diagnostic snapshot pending — this district's weekly-style report (system status, active calls, hydrographs, anomaly flags) is produced by the nightly rotation and appears here after its first run. The tabs above are live now.
Evolution of the network
Gage flow trend & changepoints
What counts as a trend here
Computed 2026-08-20 08:52 from 6 gage(s) with cached period-of-record data. Mann-Kendall (trend) and Pettitt (changepoint) both require at least 8 years spanning at least 10 years of record. A gage below that reports no signal — which is not the same as “no change.”
Of the 6 gages with enough record, 1 is trending down and 0 up, and 1 carries a detected shift. The clearest is SAGUACHE CREEK NEAR SAGUACHE, CO, -3.7 points of its long-term median per decade over 115 years (p<0.0001). The other 5 show no clear signal either way.
| Gage | Trend | Change / decade points of median | Significance | Years | Changepoint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
▸
SAGUACHE CREEK NEAR SAGUACHE, CO SAGSAGCO |
↓ decreasing | -3.7 | p=0.000 | 115 | ~1949 |
5 other gage(s) show no significant trend or changepoint (not shown).
How the measurement network itself changed
This basin was not always measured the way it is today — the API-era record is dense and recent, the early record sparse. 5 gage(s) and 91 structure(s) report in 2026, but structure reporting only reached half its modern level around ~1984. Every historical claim below is checked against this: long-term shifts that co-move with the growth of the network carry an explicit measurement-evolution caution, and abandonment screens whose idleness begins before the modern reporting era are flagged †.
| Decade | Gages with data (median yr) | Structures reporting (median yr) |
|---|---|---|
| 1910s | 1 | 0 |
| 1920s | 1 | 0 |
| 1930s | 1 | 0 |
| 1940s | 1 | 0 |
| 1950s | 2 | 32 |
| 1960s | 2 | 56 |
| 1970s | 2 | 62 |
| 1980s | 3 | 73 |
| 1990s | 2 | 72 |
| 2000s | 2 | 128 |
| 2010s | 2 | 145 |
| 2020s | 3 | 95 |
Mass-balance (network closure) trend
Structure divrec-history backfill coverage as of the last check: 11% of 652 schematic-relevant structures. 0 year(s) clear the 30% coverage gate so far -- the trend activates automatically once qualifying years span a full decade. No action needed; the nightly backfill keeps extending the record.
Reach gain/loss shifts (1950–2026)
Mass-balance kinks computed for every summer month back to 1950 (360 reach-snapshots) — which reaches gain or lose water, and how that has shifted across decades. Each shift is cross-checked against the observation record above: as more diversions became metered, "unaccounted" water shrinks mechanically, which can masquerade as a hydrologic shift.
No reach shows a statistically significant long-term gain/loss shift.
Groundwater now has its own tab: 100 monitored well(s), water-table trends, stream corridors, and the advisory depletion screen.
Reservoirs now has its own tab: 1 reservoir(s), end-of-year storage back to 1974, click-to-chart histories.
Cross-gage pattern fingerprint
Not enough gages with a long enough common-coverage window yet to fingerprint shared patterns.
Data provenance & quality
Where these numbers come from and how far they can be trusted. Grade C (3/6 points) — the components below are the finding; the letter alone is not. Sources: DWR HydroBase snapshot HydroBase_CO_20260707 (imported 2026-08-19) for history, plus the CDSS REST API for current conditions.
| Check | State | What was measured |
|---|---|---|
| gage freshness | stale | newest gage reading is 45 day(s) old (target 7) |
| diversion record | expected-lag | newest diversion record is 293 day(s) old (DWR publishes ~1 year in arrears) |
| structure coverage | sparse | 11% of schematic structures have data |
Independent check: PASS — 100.0000% agreement across 162,753 stored values re-checked against DWR's authoritative record (HydroBase_CO_20260707), over 20 structures. 0 disagreement(s) beyond a 0.01 cfs tolerance. Checked 2026-08-19; a rotating sample covers the whole basin across successive runs, and the structures this report cites are checked every time.
Federal cross-check: PASS — 99.98% day-level agreement with USGS's own published records for the same gages, across 2 co-listed station(s) and 36,622 overlapping days (within max(2%, 0.5 cfs) daily). Pre-1950 records at some gages carry known between-agency day-stamp and transcription differences — scored at each year's best ±1-day alignment; residual disagreement is real historical divergence, flagged for review.
6 gage(s) / 70,934 daily values (1910-08-01–2026-07-06); 208 structure(s) with diversion records; 1548 with decreed rights. Methodology has not yet had independent expert review — treat every figure as an advisory screen, not an administrative or legal conclusion.
11,966 water-level measurements across 100 monitored well(s) — 39 alluvial, 25 bedrock — plus 1 administered well(s) reporting metered pumping.
What is being counted
Observation wells and pumping wells are different populations and are never conflated: water levels come from monitored observation wells, and metered pumping comes from administered wells reporting through diversion records. Click any well to chart its own record.
Well map
3D aquifer x-ray
Every aquifer unit as its own head surface, animated through time.
How the surfaces are built, and what they are not
Alluvial water table on top, Denver Basin members (Dawson, Denver, Arapahoe, Laramie–Fox Hills) stacked beneath where measured, interpolated from measured water levels. Units are never mixed; a surface exists only inside its own unit's well coverage, with no extrapolation; thin epochs are suppressed and say why. Vertical scale is exaggerated for readability and z is head elevation in feet. These are measured heads, not a calibrated groundwater model.
Water-table trends
Of 38 well(s) with enough record for a trend test: 28 declining, 2 rising.
| Fastest-declining wells | Setting | ft / decade | Span | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ NA04201017AAC1 EW-57U | unknown | -5.53 | 23 yr | 0.0 |
| ▸ NA04201017ADC EW-78C | alluvial | -4.86 | 26 yr | 0.0 |
| ▸ NA04201017AAC2 EW-57C | alluvial | -4.0 | 11 yr | 0.0 |
| ▸ NA04300726ADC | unknown | -3.51 | 19 yr | 0.0005 |
| ▸ NA04201007CCC RG18 | alluvial | -2.78 | 57 yr | 0.0 |
| ▸ NA04300925DDD1 EW-61U | alluvial | -2.71 | 11 yr | 0.0112 |
| ▸ NA04300925DDD2 EW-61C | alluvial | -2.42 | 11 yr | 0.0236 |
| ▸ NA04300815CBB SAG 13 | unknown | -2.23 | 52 yr | 0.0012 |
Wells labeled by administrative world before anything else is said about them: tributary alluvium participates in the priority system; designated-basin and Denver Basin bedrock aquifers are governed differently and are excluded from stream-connection reasoning. Read bedrock declines differently too: deep bedrock aquifers recharge negligibly on human timescales, so a falling bedrock level is storage mining — effectively permanent — not a drought response that a wet year undoes. All screens advisory.
1 reservoir(s) with 1 storage measurement(s), 1974–1974. Basin storage as of 1973-11-01 (the record's own end — reservoir records publish ~annually): 250 AF across 1 reservoir(s).
Why storage matters to the flow network
Storage change is real water the mass balance must credit — a losing reach beside a filling reservoir isn't losing water, it's banking it.
Reservoir map — how full is each vessel?
What “full” is measured against
Bubble size is proportional to a reservoir's record-high storage. Fill is its last recorded storage as a share of its surveyed capacity (USACE National Inventory of Dams) where a confident NID match exists — the tooltip names the matched dam — and as a share of its own record high otherwise. A wrong capacity would be worse than an honest record high, so only confident joins upgrade.
A dashed teal ring marks reservoirs reporting live DWR telemetry: their fill reflects yesterday's storage, is drawn as a dotted tail on charts, and is treated as provisional until the next verified HydroBase snapshot supersedes it.
Basin storage, end of each water year
End-of-water-year totals; per-year reservoir counts shown because reporting coverage varies -- a total is only comparable to years with similar counts.
Largest reservoirs on record
Click a reservoir to chart its full storage history.
| Reservoir | Last recorded storage (AF) | As of |
|---|---|---|
| ▸ SAGUACHE RESERVOIR (2603581) | 250 | 1973-11-01 |
Decreed rights on this network run from 1866-04-01 to 2003-01-28. 23 abandonment screens and 131 compliance flags are listed below as leads for review — a screen is not an abandonment and a flag is not a violation.
Rights on file: 1690 across 1548 structure(s); 119 structure(s) carry 0 court-case references. Advisory reading aids on public DWR data — not administrative or legal conclusions.
Abandonment radar (23 screens)
Absolute rights with 10+ years of no recorded diversions. Screens only — storage, alternate points, and plan operations can explain nonuse lawfully. And diversion REPORTING itself only reached its modern level ~1984 — idleness that begins before then may be unreported use, not nonuse (flagged † below).
- WM M STOWE D (2600696) (1876-06-01, 11.6 cfs decreed): last active 1957 — 68 years idle † predates modern reporting era — last recorded activity predates this basin's modern reporting era (~1984) -- early absence of record is weak evidence of nonuse
- SCHALLER D 2 (2600665) (1877-06-01, 1.0 cfs decreed): last active 1962 — 63 years idle † predates modern reporting era — last recorded activity predates this basin's modern reporting era (~1984) -- early absence of record is weak evidence of nonuse
- HODGSON D 1 (2600565) (1876-11-01, 1.6 cfs decreed): last active 1965 — 60 years idle † predates modern reporting era — last recorded activity predates this basin's modern reporting era (~1984) -- early absence of record is weak evidence of nonuse
- DAVEY HAGAN OVERFLOW D (2600521) (1911-12-31, 3.6 cfs decreed): last active 1973 — 52 years idle † predates modern reporting era — last recorded activity predates this basin's modern reporting era (~1984) -- early absence of record is weak evidence of nonuse
- HARENCE D 2 (2600552) (1886-04-01, 2.0 cfs decreed): last active 1973 — 52 years idle † predates modern reporting era — last recorded activity predates this basin's modern reporting era (~1984) -- early absence of record is weak evidence of nonuse
- JONES BENJAMIN D 2 (2600577) (1877-06-01, 1.0 cfs decreed): last active 1973 — 52 years idle † predates modern reporting era — last recorded activity predates this basin's modern reporting era (~1984) -- early absence of record is weak evidence of nonuse
- MEANS D (2600597) (1883-12-25, 16.0 cfs decreed): last active 1973 — 52 years idle † predates modern reporting era — last recorded activity predates this basin's modern reporting era (~1984) -- early absence of record is weak evidence of nonuse
- DAVEY RUSSELL SEEPAGE DR (2600522) (1872-05-01, 5.0 cfs decreed): last active 1975 — 50 years idle † predates modern reporting era — last recorded activity predates this basin's modern reporting era (~1984) -- early absence of record is weak evidence of nonuse
- DAVEY S,D&OVFL D 1,NO BR (2600523) (1872-05-01, 3.0 cfs decreed): last active 1975 — 50 years idle † predates modern reporting era — last recorded activity predates this basin's modern reporting era (~1984) -- early absence of record is weak evidence of nonuse
- DAVEY S,D&OVFL D 2 (2600524) (1872-05-01, 6.0 cfs decreed): last active 1975 — 50 years idle † predates modern reporting era — last recorded activity predates this basin's modern reporting era (~1984) -- early absence of record is weak evidence of nonuse
Compliance screens (131 advisory flags)
Screened 175 of 1548 structures with rights (182 have diversion history on file). A flag is a lead for expert review — augmentation plans, exchanges, and free-river conditions can make over-decree diversions lawful and are deliberately not modeled.
- MEANS D (2600597): Observed p99 daily rate 125.0 cfs (max 125.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 16.0 cfs across 814 recorded day(s).
- OKLAHOMA CO D (2600621): Observed p99 daily rate 100.0 cfs (max 150.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 6.6 cfs across 12838 recorded day(s).
- JONES BENJAMIN D 2 (2600577): Observed p99 daily rate 50.0 cfs (max 75.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 1.0 cfs across 1218 recorded day(s).
- SOUTH 38 D (2600676): Observed p99 daily rate 35.2 cfs (max 35.2) exceeds total decreed absolute 35.2 cfs across 2004 recorded day(s).
- LUENGEN D (2600588): Observed p99 daily rate 30.0 cfs (max 30.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 9.6 cfs across 1454 recorded day(s).
- WERNER B D (2600694): Observed p99 daily rate 30.0 cfs (max 40.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 6.3 cfs across 3906 recorded day(s).
- STAR D (2600677): Observed p99 daily rate 22.0 cfs (max 24.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 12.7 cfs across 27742 recorded day(s).
- HARTMAN BROS D 3 (2600555): Observed p99 daily rate 21.0 cfs (max 21.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 7.4 cfs across 630 recorded day(s).
- MOSES GOFF D 2 (2600611): Observed p99 daily rate 20.0 cfs (max 20.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 1.6 cfs across 11483 recorded day(s).
- GEORGE BALL D (2600545): Observed p99 daily rate 18.2 cfs (max 30.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 6.0 cfs across 9563 recorded day(s).
Seniority (top structures by decreed rate)
| Structure | Senior priority date | Rights | Decreed abs (cfs) | Decreed abs (AF) | Conditional? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USFS QP49D (2601133) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 311.2 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP47G (2601125) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 111.6 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP47B (2601120) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 96.8 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP47H (2601126) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 58.6 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP49M (2601142) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 57.8 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP51M (2601155) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 52.4 | 0 | — |
| LAGARITA D (2600581) | 1919-05-01 | 2 | 52.0 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP47J (2601127) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 46.6 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP51C (2601146) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 43.2 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP51D (2601147) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 43.2 | 0 | — |
| ALEXANDER OVERFLOW D (2600829) | 1985-05-03 | 1 | 40.0 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP49E (2601134) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 36.0 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP49G2 (2601137) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 35.4 | 0 | — |
| SOUTH 38 D (2600676) | 1874-03-01 | 10 | 35.2 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP47F (2601124) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 33.6 | 0 | — |
No inventory or legal-document changes detected since the daily watch began.
If a call were placed at a given seniority, which structures in this basin would be out of priority, and how much of their decreed rate would be curtailed? Computed from this basin's cached decrees.
What this does and doesn't model. Seniority arithmetic only: every right junior to the call is treated as curtailed. It does not model reach applicability — structures downstream of the calling point are not administered by it — and it applies no futile-call judgment. Read it as “who is junior to this date, and by how much,” not as a prediction of what the Division Engineer would actually order.
Pick a calling right
Real decrees from this basin, ordered by administration number — that is, by actual seniority. The years will look out of order, and that is correct: an administration number encodes the adjudication date as well as the appropriation date, so a right appropriated in 1970 can be administered ahead of one from 1950. A senior call curtails almost everything; a junior one curtails almost nothing.
Or enter an administration number directly
DWR administration numbers encode appropriation and adjudication dates; lower is more senior.