Bootstrap review report — d3_wd27_carnero_creek
Generated 2026-08-13 22:37 UTC for Division 3 / Water District 27.
This is a review checklist, not a finished config. Everything below is a suggestion from live DWR data — confirm or correct each section in config.yaml before running this basin for real.
1. Stream-name patterns
Assumed mainstem pattern: CARNERO CREEK (highest-count waterSource value). Candidates below by structure count — decide which are real tributaries worth their own centerline vs. noise, and add them to longitudinal.tributary_stream_patterns in priority order (more-specific names, e.g. "WEST FORK X", must precede substrings of themselves, e.g. "X").
| waterSource | structure count |
|---|---|
| CARNERO CREEK (assumed mainstem) | 38 |
| LA GARITA CREEK | 12 |
2. Diversion / return classification
Auto-classified from structureType + name patterns: 46 diversions, 1 returns, 786 unclassified (neither pattern matched — these render as neither on the schematic unless added to return_flow_wdids/force_diversion_wdids or a type is added to the diversion/return type lists).
This layer needs the least manual work — it's the same heuristic the engine uses at runtime. Spot-check a sample rather than reviewing every row; if you have a water-year accounting spreadsheet for this basin, cross-reference it against the 'other' bucket specifically (that's where a real augmentation return with an unusual DWR structureType will hide).
2b. Cross-checked against decreed water rights (CDSS)
45 structure(s) have a decreed water right (CDSS waterrights/netamount) that disagrees with the structureType/name-pattern classification above. Same-agency evidence (DWR/HydroBase), not independent of DWR the way the NLDI topology check is — worth a glance, not an automatic correction.
| wdid | structure | currently | decreed uses suggest | decreed uses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2705000 | W0059 WELL NO 01 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705004 | W1357 WELL NO 02 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705006 | W1503 WELL NO 01 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705008 | W1510 WELL NO IRR 01 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705010 | W1510 WELL NO IRR 04 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705011 | W1633 WELL NO 01 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705012 | W1633 WELL NO 02 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705014 | W2361 WELL NO 12 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705015 | W2543 WELL NO 03 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705016 | W0259 WELL NO 02 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705017 | W0289 WELL NO 01 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705018 | W0289 WELL NO 02 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705020 | W0423 WELL NO 01 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705021 | W0423 WELL NO 03 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705022 | W0442 WELL NO 01 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705039 | W3635 WELL NO 02R | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705042 | W0901 WELL NO 03 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705044 | W2467 WELL NO 01 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705045 | W2418 WELL NO 01 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705047 | W2588 WELL NO 07 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705048 | W2588 WELL NO 09 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705049 | W2588 WELL NO 13 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705050 | W2588 WELL NO 16 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705052 | W1964 WELL NO 21 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705053 | W3275 WELL NO 03 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705054 | W3899 WELL NO 02R | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705055 | 81CW081 WELL NO 07A | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705056 | 81CW081 WELL NO 09A | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705057 | 81CW081 WELL NO 13A | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705058 | 81CW081 WELL NO 16A | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705059 | 81CW123 WELL NO 21A | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705060 | 80CW038 WELL NO 01A | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705061 | 80CW012 WELL NO 04 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705065 | 81CW066 WELL NO 02R | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705066 | 82CW019 WELL NO 01A | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705067 | W0959 WELL NO 01 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705068 | 80CW126 WELL NO 01A | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705069 | W0959 WELL NO 03 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705070 | 80CW126 WELL NO 03R | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705071 | W2275 WELL NO 01 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705072 | 83CW014 WELL NO 01A | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705074 | 82CW093 WELL NO 04A | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705075 | W2536 WELL NO 01 | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705076 | 82CW084 WELL NO 01A | other | diversion | Irrigation |
| 2705077 | 82CW172 WELL NO 01R | other | diversion | Irrigation |
3. Suspected nested tributaries
None flagged — every tributary candidate is clearly closer to the mainstem than to any other tributary.
4. Gage placement risk
None — every gage with a resolvable position is within the placement cutoff.
2 more gage(s) pass but are within 2x the cutoff distance — worth a glance if the structure dataset changes later.
Next steps
- Fill in
tributary_stream_patternsfrom section 1. - Resolve section 3's flags (or confirm none apply).
- Resolve section 4's at-risk gages.
- Cross-reference
return_flow_wdids/force_diversion_wdidsagainst any local accounting source you have for this basin. - Review the rendered schematic for this district before relying on it.
Evolution of the network
Computed 2026-08-20 08:53 from 2 gage(s) with cached period-of-record data. Statistical tests (Mann-Kendall trend, Pettitt changepoint) require at least 8 years spanning at least 10 years of record -- gages below that report no signal, not "no change."
Data provenance & quality
Where these numbers come from and how far they can be trusted. Grade C (3/6 points) — the components below are the finding; the letter alone is not. Sources: DWR HydroBase snapshot HydroBase_CO_20260707 (imported 2026-08-19) for history, plus the CDSS REST API for current conditions.
| Check | State | What was measured |
|---|---|---|
| gage freshness | stale | newest gage reading is 45 day(s) old (target 7) |
| diversion record | expected-lag | newest diversion record is 293 day(s) old (DWR publishes ~1 year in arrears) |
| structure coverage | sparse | 13% of schematic structures have data |
Independent check: PASS — 100.0000% agreement across 183,751 stored values re-checked against DWR's authoritative record (HydroBase_CO_20260707), over 20 structures. 0 disagreement(s) beyond a 0.01 cfs tolerance. Checked 2026-08-19; a rotating sample covers the whole basin across successive runs, and the structures this report cites are checked every time.
Federal cross-check: PASS — 100.00% day-level agreement with USGS's own published records for the same gages, across 2 co-listed station(s) and 42,223 overlapping days (within max(2%, 0.5 cfs) daily). Pre-1950 records at some gages carry known between-agency day-stamp and transcription differences — scored at each year's best ±1-day alignment; residual disagreement is real historical divergence, flagged for review.
2 gage(s) / 71,639 daily values (1919-04-01–2026-07-06); 75 structure(s) with diversion records; 1304 with decreed rights. Methodology has not yet had independent expert review — treat every figure as an advisory screen, not an administrative or legal conclusion.
Read this first: the measurement network itself evolved
This basin was not always measured the way it is today — the API-era record is dense and recent, the early record sparse. 2 gage(s) and 36 structure(s) report in 2026, but structure reporting only reached half its modern level around ~1986. Every historical claim below is checked against this: long-term shifts that co-move with the growth of the network carry an explicit measurement-evolution caution, and abandonment screens whose idleness begins before the modern reporting era are flagged †.
| Decade | Gages with data (median yr) | Structures reporting (median yr) |
|---|---|---|
| 1910s | 2 | 0 |
| 1920s | 2 | 0 |
| 1930s | 2 | 0 |
| 1940s | 2 | 0 |
| 1950s | 2 | 12 |
| 1960s | 2 | 16 |
| 1970s | 2 | 14 |
| 1980s | 2 | 24 |
| 1990s | 2 | 37 |
| 2000s | 2 | 32 |
| 2010s | 2 | 44 |
| 2020s | 2 | 36 |
Gage flow trend & changepoints
Every located gage with a period of record — dot size scales with the strength of its flow trend (|Sen slope| in %/decade, the same statistic as the table below), color with direction. An amber ring marks a detected Pettitt changepoint. Click a gage to chart its trend and shift.
| Gage | Trend | Change / decade | Significance | Years | Changepoint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
▸
CARNERO CREEK NEAR LA GARITA, CO. CARLAGCO |
↓ decreasing | -8.7% | p=0.000 | 108 | ~1949 |
|
▸
LA GARITA CREEK NEAR LA GARITA, CO LAGLAGCO |
↓ decreasing | -3.6% | p=0.047 | 107 | — |
Mass-balance (network closure) trend
Structure divrec-history backfill coverage as of the last check: 13% of 240 schematic-relevant structures. 0 year(s) clear the 30% coverage gate so far -- the trend activates automatically once qualifying years span a full decade. No action needed; the nightly backfill keeps extending the record.
Reach gain/loss shifts (–)
Mass-balance kinks computed for every summer month back to (0 reach-snapshots) — which reaches gain or lose water, and how that has shifted across decades. Each shift is cross-checked against the observation record above: as more diversions became metered, "unaccounted" water shrinks mechanically, which can masquerade as a hydrologic shift.
No reach shows a statistically significant long-term gain/loss shift.
Groundwater now has its own tab: 137 monitored well(s), water-table trends, stream corridors, and the advisory depletion screen.
Cross-gage pattern fingerprint
Not enough gages with a long enough common-coverage window yet to fingerprint shared patterns.
The basin's aquifer story, from 17,726 water-level measurements across 137 monitored well(s) (73 alluvial, 22 bedrock, rest unclassified) — plus 0 administered well(s) reporting metered pumping through diversion records. Observation wells and pumping wells are different populations and are never conflated. Click a well to chart its record.
Well map
Every monitored well with a location — hover for identity, click to chart its water-level record below. ● alluvial ● bedrock / confined (Denver Basin, High Plains, etc. — one-way, no human-timescale recharge) ● unclassified — marker size scales with the strength of the well's water-level trend (|Sen slope| in ft/decade — the same Mann-Kendall/Sen statistic as the trends table below); the smallest, faintest dots have too little record to test.
3D aquifer x-ray
Every aquifer unit as its own 3D head surface — alluvial water table on top, Denver Basin members (Dawson, Denver, Arapahoe, Laramie–Fox Hills) stacked beneath where measured — interpolated from measured water levels and animated through time. Units are never mixed; surfaces exist only inside each unit's well coverage (no extrapolation); thin epochs are suppressed with their reason shown. Vertical scale exaggerated for readability; z is head elevation in feet. Advisory — measured heads, not a calibrated model.
Water-table trends
Of 54 well(s) with enough record for a trend test: 42 declining, 0 rising.
| Fastest-declining wells | Setting | ft / decade | Span | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ NA04101018DDD1 EW-41U | alluvial | -12.03 | 28 yr | 0.0 |
| ▸ NA04200936DDD1 RG23 | alluvial | -9.67 | 15 yr | 0.0 |
| ▸ NA04100901DCD2 EW-48C | alluvial | -9.55 | 21 yr | 0.0 |
| ▸ NA04100901DCD1 EW-48U | alluvial | -9.46 | 21 yr | 0.0 |
| ▸ NA04101018DDD2 EW-41C | alluvial | -9.25 | 32 yr | 0.0 |
| ▸ NA04101004CCC1 EW-47U | alluvial | -8.28 | 35 yr | 0.0 |
| ▸ NA04101004CCC2 EW-47C-1 | alluvial | -8.24 | 34 yr | 0.0 |
| ▸ NA04100921DAA RG28-1 | alluvial | -7.27 | 43 yr | 0.0 |
Wells labeled by administrative world before anything else is said about them: tributary alluvium participates in the priority system; designated-basin and Denver Basin bedrock aquifers are governed differently and are excluded from stream-connection reasoning. Read bedrock declines differently too: deep bedrock aquifers recharge negligibly on human timescales, so a falling bedrock level is storage mining — effectively permanent — not a drought response that a wet year undoes. All screens advisory.
Decrees, seniority, and administrative calls connected to this basin's flow network. Advisory reading aids on public DWR data — not administrative or legal conclusions. Rights on file: 1530 across 1304 structure(s); 22 structure(s) carry 0 court-case references.
Abandonment radar (14 screens)
Absolute rights with 10+ years of no recorded diversions. Screens only — storage, alternate points, and plan operations can explain nonuse lawfully. And diversion REPORTING itself only reached its modern level ~1986 — idleness that begins before then may be unreported use, not nonuse (flagged † below).
- COOLIE D (2700507) (1884-12-31, 1.0 cfs decreed): last active 1985 — 40 years idle † predates modern reporting era — last recorded activity predates this basin's modern reporting era (~1986) -- early absence of record is weak evidence of nonuse
- VALE SEEPAGE D (2700597) (1922-04-01, 8.3 cfs decreed): last active 1993 — 32 years idle
- AYERS D (2700620) (1981-02-26, 0.0 cfs decreed): last active 1993 — 32 years idle
- N DITCH (2700631) (1983-05-01, 5.0 cfs decreed): last active 1995 — 30 years idle
- GUNBARREL SEPG OVFL D (2700520) (1891-11-17, 44.0 cfs decreed): last active 1996 — 29 years idle
- HARNEY DITCH (2700691) (1970-06-30, 5.0 cfs decreed): last active 2000 — 25 years idle
- LA GARITA D (2700526) (1940-08-12, 20.0 cfs decreed): last active 2001 — 24 years idle
- WILSON D NO 1 (2700552) (1884-12-31, 4.4 cfs decreed): last active 2004 — 21 years idle
- C DITCH (2700632) (1983-05-01, 10.0 cfs decreed): last active 2004 — 21 years idle
- MANUEL D 1 (2700530) (1873-06-30, 2.8 cfs decreed): last active 2007 — 18 years idle
Compliance screens (22 advisory flags)
Screened 47 of 1304 structures with rights (47 have diversion history on file). A flag is a lead for expert review — augmentation plans, exchanges, and free-river conditions can make over-decree diversions lawful and are deliberately not modeled.
- LA GARITA D (2700526): Observed p99 daily rate 64.0 cfs (max 64.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 20.0 cfs across 2160 recorded day(s).
- MCLEOD D NO 3 (2700533): Observed p99 daily rate 40.0 cfs (max 60.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 0.7 cfs across 6092 recorded day(s).
- GREEN D NO 1 (2700518): Observed p99 daily rate 19.0 cfs (max 30.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 16.3 cfs across 13559 recorded day(s).
- C DITCH (2700632): Observed p99 daily rate 15.0 cfs (max 20.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 10.0 cfs across 514 recorded day(s).
- BIEDELL D NO 2 (2700503): Observed p99 daily rate 12.0 cfs (max 25.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 2.3 cfs across 6734 recorded day(s).
- LA MAGOTES D (2700528): Observed p99 daily rate 12.0 cfs (max 16.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 1.8 cfs across 4902 recorded day(s).
- WILSON D NO 1 (2700552): Observed p99 daily rate 10.0 cfs (max 10.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 4.4 cfs across 2454 recorded day(s).
- WILSON D NO 4 (2700553): Observed p99 daily rate 8.0 cfs (max 10.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 2.1 cfs across 6272 recorded day(s).
- NAVIN D (2700604): Observed p99 daily rate 7.0 cfs (max 13.2) exceeds total decreed absolute 5.5 cfs across 4008 recorded day(s).
- MCLEOD D NO 4 & 5 (2700714): Observed p99 daily rate 7.0 cfs (max 9.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 6.1 cfs across 2926 recorded day(s).
Seniority (top structures by decreed rate)
| Structure | Senior priority date | Rights | Decreed abs (cfs) | Decreed abs (AF) | Conditional? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARNERO N BR DIVERSION (RIO GRANDE CANAL (2700683) | 1986-05-15 | 1 | 150.0 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP45A (2700702) | 1938-06-20 | 1 | 116.2 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP45D (2700705) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 61.0 | 0 | — |
| ROCKY HILL SEEPAGE AND OVERFLOW DITCH (2700543) | 1891-11-17 | 1 | 44.6 | 0 | — |
| GUNBARREL SEPG OVFL D (2700520) | 1891-11-17 | 1 | 44.0 | 0 | — |
| LATERAL 7-A SEPG OVFL D (2700529) | 1891-11-17 | 1 | 43.6 | 0 | — |
| BIEDELL D NO 10 (2700502) | 1870-05-31 | 18 | 42.8 | 0 | — |
| OMNIBUS D (2700538) | 1869-04-30 | 25 | 42.7 | 0 | — |
| JOHNNIE SMITH D NO 1 (2700523) | 1888-04-30 | 3 | 42.7 | 0 | — |
| HOME D NO 1 (2700522) | 1871-04-30 | 11 | 32.4 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP45F (2700707) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 26.2 | 0 | — |
| ANDERSON BERNARD SEPG D (2700557) | 1948-10-23 | 1 | 24.0 | 0 | — |
| USFS QP45E (2700706) | 1905-06-13 | 1 | 23.0 | 0 | — |
| LA GARITA D (2700526) | 1940-08-12 | 1 | 20.0 | 0 | — |
| WHITE D (2700551) | 1908-04-22 | 3 | 17.9 | 0 | — |
No inventory or legal-document changes detected since the daily watch began.
If a call were placed at a given seniority, which structures in this basin would be out of priority, and how much of their decreed rate would be curtailed? Computed from this basin's cached decrees.
What this does and doesn't model. Seniority arithmetic only: every right junior to the call is treated as curtailed. It does not model reach applicability — structures downstream of the calling point are not administered by it — and it applies no futile-call judgment. Read it as “who is junior to this date, and by how much,” not as a prediction of what the Division Engineer would actually order.
Pick a calling right
Real decrees from this basin, ordered by administration number — that is, by actual seniority. The years will look out of order, and that is correct: an administration number encodes the adjudication date as well as the appropriation date, so a right appropriated in 1970 can be administered ahead of one from 1950. A senior call curtails almost everything; a junior one curtails almost nothing.
Or enter an administration number directly
DWR administration numbers encode appropriation and adjudication dates; lower is more senior.