Full diagnostic snapshot pending — this district's weekly-style report (system status, active calls, hydrographs, anomaly flags) is produced by the nightly rotation and appears here after its first run. The tabs above are live now.
Evolution of the network
Gage flow trend & changepoints
What counts as a trend here
Computed 2026-08-20 09:27 from 6 gage(s) with cached period-of-record data. Mann-Kendall (trend) and Pettitt (changepoint) both require at least 8 years spanning at least 10 years of record. A gage below that reports no signal — which is not the same as “no change.”
Of the 6 gages with enough record, 1 is trending down and 0 up, and 2 carry a detected shift. The clearest is YAMPA RIVER AT DEERLODGE PARK, CO, -28.0 points of its long-term median per decade over 42 years (p=0.0018). The other 4 show no clear signal either way.
| Gage | Trend | Change / decade points of median | Significance | Years | Changepoint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
▸
YAMPA RIVER AT DEERLODGE PARK, CO YAMDEECO |
↓ decreasing | -28.0 | p=0.002 | 42 | ~2017 |
|
▸
LITTLE SNAKE RIVER NEAR SLATER, CO LSRSLACO |
no clear trend | -2.0 | p=0.329 | 80 | ~2017 |
4 other gage(s) show no significant trend or changepoint (not shown).
How the measurement network itself changed
This basin was not always measured the way it is today — the API-era record is dense and recent, the early record sparse. 3 gage(s) and 18 structure(s) report in 2026, but structure reporting only reached half its modern level around ~1974. Every historical claim below is checked against this: long-term shifts that co-move with the growth of the network carry an explicit measurement-evolution caution, and abandonment screens whose idleness begins before the modern reporting era are flagged †.
| Decade | Gages with data (median yr) | Structures reporting (median yr) |
|---|---|---|
| 1920s | 1 | 0 |
| 1930s | 1 | 0 |
| 1940s | 2 | 0 |
| 1950s | 2 | 0 |
| 1960s | 2 | 0 |
| 1970s | 2 | 11 |
| 1980s | 3 | 13 |
| 1990s | 4 | 17 |
| 2000s | 3 | 18 |
| 2010s | 3 | 18 |
| 2020s | 3 | 16 |
Mass-balance (network closure) trend
Structure divrec-history backfill coverage as of the last check: 15% of 142 schematic-relevant structures. 0 year(s) clear the 30% coverage gate so far -- the trend activates automatically once qualifying years span a full decade. No action needed; the nightly backfill keeps extending the record.
Reach gain/loss shifts (1988–2003)
Mass-balance kinks computed for every summer month back to 1988 (40 reach-snapshots) — which reaches gain or lose water, and how that has shifted across decades. Each shift is cross-checked against the observation record above: as more diversions became metered, "unaccounted" water shrinks mechanically, which can masquerade as a hydrologic shift.
No reach shows a statistically significant long-term gain/loss shift.
Groundwater now has its own tab: 1 monitored well(s), water-table trends, stream corridors, and the advisory depletion screen.
Cross-gage pattern fingerprint
Over the 26-year window with full coverage (2001–2026), the dominant shared pattern across 3 gage(s) explains 74% of year-to-year variance (almost certainly a basin-wide climate/snowpack driver).
All gages in this window move with the shared pattern -- no localized outlier.
Data provenance & quality
Where these numbers come from and how far they can be trusted. Grade C (3/6 points) — the components below are the finding; the letter alone is not. Sources: DWR HydroBase snapshot HydroBase_CO_20260707 (imported 2026-08-19) for history, plus the CDSS REST API for current conditions.
| Check | State | What was measured |
|---|---|---|
| gage freshness | stale | newest gage reading is 45 day(s) old (target 7) |
| diversion record | expected-lag | newest diversion record is 309 day(s) old (DWR publishes ~1 year in arrears) |
| structure coverage | sparse | 15% of schematic structures have data |
Independent check: PASS — 100.0000% agreement across 90,869 stored values re-checked against DWR's authoritative record (HydroBase_CO_20260707), over 20 structures. 0 disagreement(s) beyond a 0.01 cfs tolerance. Checked 2026-08-19; a rotating sample covers the whole basin across successive runs, and the structures this report cites are checked every time.
Federal cross-check: PASS — 98.13% day-level agreement with USGS's own published records for the same gages, across 6 co-listed station(s) and 87,954 overlapping days (within max(2%, 0.5 cfs) daily). Pre-1950 records at some gages carry known between-agency day-stamp and transcription differences — scored at each year's best ±1-day alignment; residual disagreement is real historical divergence, flagged for review.
6 gage(s) / 88,192 daily values (1921-10-01–2026-07-06); 33 structure(s) with diversion records; 477 with decreed rights. Methodology has not yet had independent expert review — treat every figure as an advisory screen, not an administrative or legal conclusion.
6 water-level measurements across 1 monitored well(s) — 0 alluvial, 0 bedrock — plus 2 administered well(s) reporting metered pumping.
What is being counted
Observation wells and pumping wells are different populations and are never conflated: water levels come from monitored observation wells, and metered pumping comes from administered wells reporting through diversion records. Click any well to chart its own record.
Well map
3D aquifer x-ray
Every aquifer unit as its own head surface, animated through time.
How the surfaces are built, and what they are not
Alluvial water table on top, Denver Basin members (Dawson, Denver, Arapahoe, Laramie–Fox Hills) stacked beneath where measured, interpolated from measured water levels. Units are never mixed; a surface exists only inside its own unit's well coverage, with no extrapolation; thin epochs are suppressed and say why. Vertical scale is exaggerated for readability and z is head elevation in feet. These are measured heads, not a calibrated groundwater model.
Water-table trends
Of 0 well(s) with enough record for a trend test: 0 declining, 0 rising.
Wells labeled by administrative world before anything else is said about them: tributary alluvium participates in the priority system; designated-basin and Denver Basin bedrock aquifers are governed differently and are excluded from stream-connection reasoning. Read bedrock declines differently too: deep bedrock aquifers recharge negligibly on human timescales, so a falling bedrock level is storage mining — effectively permanent — not a drought response that a wet year undoes. All screens advisory.
Decreed rights on this network run from 1890-05-01 to 2023-03-30. 4 abandonment screens and 10 compliance flags are listed below as leads for review — a screen is not an abandonment and a flag is not a violation.
Rights on file: 522 across 477 structure(s); 17 structure(s) carry 0 court-case references. Advisory reading aids on public DWR data — not administrative or legal conclusions.
Abandonment radar (4 screens)
Absolute rights with 10+ years of no recorded diversions. Screens only — storage, alternate points, and plan operations can explain nonuse lawfully. And diversion REPORTING itself only reached its modern level ~1974 — idleness that begins before then may be unreported use, not nonuse (flagged † below).
- ARAMBEL WELL 2 (5506003) (1955-06-15, 0.2 cfs decreed): last active 1986 — 37 years idle
- ESCALANTA DITCH (5500516) (1899-10-01, 6.0 cfs decreed): last active 2003 — 20 years idle
- PERUSEK DITCH (5500510) (1928-09-24, 3.8 cfs decreed): last active 2008 — 15 years idle
- HELLS CANYON DITCH (5502035) (1920-07-01, 7.0 cfs decreed): last active 2013 — 10 years idle
Compliance screens (10 advisory flags)
Screened 25 of 477 structures with rights (30 have diversion history on file). A flag is a lead for expert review — augmentation plans, exchanges, and free-river conditions can make over-decree diversions lawful and are deliberately not modeled.
- RAFTOPOULOS LSR PUMP (5501081): Observed p99 daily rate 14.0 cfs (max 14.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 11.8 cfs across 6296 recorded day(s).
- LEFEVRE NO 1 PUMP (5500537): Observed p99 daily rate 11.3 cfs (max 15.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 10.0 cfs across 6839 recorded day(s).
- NINE MILE IRR DITCH (5500507): Observed p99 daily rate 10.0 cfs (max 10.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 8.0 cfs across 5726 recorded day(s).
- PERUSEK DITCH (5500510): Observed p99 daily rate 10.0 cfs (max 18.8) exceeds total decreed absolute 3.8 cfs across 2008 recorded day(s).
- HAYSTACK PUMP (5502034): Observed p99 daily rate 9.3 cfs (max 10.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 6.7 cfs across 1514 recorded day(s).
- NINE MILE IRR PL (5500508): Observed p99 daily rate 8.0 cfs (max 8.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 6.5 cfs across 6536 recorded day(s).
- GORDON C. WINN PUMP 1 (5500514): Observed p99 daily rate 8.0 cfs (max 8.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 2.2 cfs across 6158 recorded day(s).
- ADOLPH EDINGER D & PL (5500502): Observed p99 daily rate 4.1 cfs (max 4.7) exceeds total decreed absolute 4.0 cfs across 384 recorded day(s).
- STUDEBAKER PUMP (5502037): Observed p99 daily rate 3.0 cfs (max 3.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 2.0 cfs across 2324 recorded day(s).
- KAWCAK PUMP EAST (5500558): All rights on this structure are conditional (no absolute decree), but divrec shows 30 day(s) of nonzero diversion -- worth checking whether an absolute right was decreed since the cached net amounts, or the diversions run under another plan.
Seniority (top structures by decreed rate)
| Structure | Senior priority date | Rights | Decreed abs (cfs) | Decreed abs (AF) | Conditional? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAJORS PUMP NO 2 (5500506) | 1890-05-01 | 6 | 18.6 | 0 | — |
| ONECO PUMP NO 2 (5500509) | 1890-05-01 | 6 | 15.3 | 0 | — |
| RINKER PUMP D (5500519) | 1916-06-26 | 3 | 12.0 | 0 | — |
| RAFTOPOULOS LSR PUMP (5501081) | 1924-06-01 | 3 | 11.8 | 69 | — |
| LEFEVRE NO 1 PUMP (5500537) | 1975-09-17 | 1 | 10.0 | 0 | — |
| DEWEY SHERIDAN D (5501011) | 1947-04-27 | 1 | 10.0 | 0 | — |
| NINE MILE IRR DITCH (5500507) | 1950-02-17 | 1 | 8.0 | 0 | — |
| GORDON C. WINN PUMP 2 (5500515) | 1963-05-01 | 1 | 7.8 | 0 | — |
| HELLS CANYON DITCH (5502035) | 1920-07-01 | 1 | 7.0 | 0 | — |
| HAYSTACK PUMP (5502034) | 1936-08-01 | 1 | 6.7 | 0 | — |
| NINE MILE IRR PL (5500508) | 1961-08-14 | 2 | 6.5 | 0 | — |
| ESCALANTA DITCH (5500516) | 1899-10-01 | 1 | 6.0 | 0 | — |
| DUNN PUMP & PL (5500538) | 1975-10-01 | 1 | 6.0 | 0 | — |
| VISINTAINER DITCH (5500513) | 1929-09-09 | 2 | 5.0 | 0 | — |
| ONECO DITCH (5501509) | 1901-04-29 | 1 | 4.2 | 0 | — |
No inventory or legal-document changes detected since the daily watch began.
If a call were placed at a given seniority, which structures in this basin would be out of priority, and how much of their decreed rate would be curtailed? Computed from this basin's cached decrees.
What this does and doesn't model. Seniority arithmetic only: every right junior to the call is treated as curtailed. It does not model reach applicability — structures downstream of the calling point are not administered by it — and it applies no futile-call judgment. Read it as “who is junior to this date, and by how much,” not as a prediction of what the Division Engineer would actually order.
Pick a calling right
Real decrees from this basin, ordered by administration number — that is, by actual seniority. The years will look out of order, and that is correct: an administration number encodes the adjudication date as well as the appropriation date, so a right appropriated in 1970 can be administered ahead of one from 1950. A senior call curtails almost everything; a junior one curtails almost nothing.
Or enter an administration number directly
DWR administration numbers encode appropriation and adjudication dates; lower is more senior.