Hydrohistorian
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Saguache Creek near Saguache
River gage · SAGSAGCO · USGS 08227000 · Division 3 · Water District 26 · Saguache County
Live gage at DWR ↗ · USGS monitoring location ↗ · Download daily record (CSV)
Source DWR administrative record · verify at DWR station ↗ Source Independent agency measurement · verify at USGS ↗ Source Our computation, no independent reference · computed here from the screened record
Two different numbers, deliberately: Flowing now is raw 15-minute telemetry, provisional and unreviewed. Latest cached reading is the end of the verified daily record. They are never merged, and the verified series is the one the trend is computed on.
The record
Readings come from the weekly-refreshed cache, never fetched live — the date beside the value says exactly how fresh it is. The live gage is one click up.
The water itself
USGS keeps a sensor here. Latest readings, with the last 30 days of daily means beside each. Provisional: not yet reviewed by USGS, and revised when it is.
Fetched 2026-10-18 12:20 UTC from USGS NWIS (site 08227000). The USGS page has the full sensor record; every Colorado sensor site is listed on one page.
Annual flow & trend
Chart: annual mean flow at Saguache Creek near Saguache, water years 1910 to 2026. The measured record is decreasing at -2.4 cubic feet per second per decade. A Pettitt changepoint is detected around 1949. The underlying yearly values are available as a CSV download linked at the top of this page.
Where it sits
Location as DWR records it (5.0).
Seasonal runoff outlook
NRCS calls it even odds that this gage carries at least 6 thousand acre-feetA volume: one acre covered a foot deep, about 326,000 gallons -- roughly a suburban household's outdoor use for a year. over 06-01 to 09-30 — 33% of a normal season; almost certainly at least 2, probably not more than 11. Issued 2026-06-01 — the season’s final; new forecasts begin in January.
| 90% chance of at least | 70% chance of at least | 50% chance of at least | 30% chance of at least | 10% chance of at least | Normal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 kAF | 4 kAF | 6 kAF | 8 kAF | 11 kAF | 17 kAF |
The row is one season as a range of odds (exceedanceA forecast stated as odds of AT LEAST this much: the 90% exceedance value is a near-floor the river beats nine years in ten, the 10% value a near-ceiling it reaches one year in ten, and 50% is even odds -- as likely to come in above as below. values): the left end is a near-floor the river beats nine years in ten, the right a near-ceiling. How to read these numbers → Forecast by the NRCS National Water and Climate Center; shown beside the gage’s own record, which is what it is verified against on the report card.
Record-adjusted April benchmark: re-anchoring NRCS’s April number (12 kAF) on this river’s own history moves it to 11 kAF; the river delivered 9. Computed by this site, shown only where it beats NRCS in replay (26% → 23% typical miss over 43 seasons). Method →
Provenance
DWR station abbreviation SAGSAGCO; recorded station name “SAGUACHE CREEK NEAR SAGUACHE, CO”; operated by DWR. Daily flows from the DWR HydroBase snapshot plus CDSS REST updates, refreshed on the weekly cycle. Trend statistics are Mann-Kendall (Hamed-Rao corrected) with Sen's slope in native cfs, the same numbers as the basin Trends tab.