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Tomichi Creek

Division 4 · Water District 28
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Tomichi Creek on the ground — the ditches, wells, reservoirs and gages of Water District 28 · clicktap anything for its record

Browse this district’s ditches, gages, reservoirs, wells and springs as a list.

1% of normal flow, week of 2026-06-29
26 calls active on it right now

The Tomichi Creek is critically low for late June -- 1% of normal flow, its 1st-driest such week in 89 years of record. 26 calls stand against it right now; the most senior right calling dates to 1878. This year's runoff outlook, issued 2026-06-01, called for 7% of normal.

Full diagnostic snapshot pending — this district's weekly-style report (system status, active calls, hydrographs, anomaly flags) is produced by the nightly rotation and appears here after its first run. The tabs above are live now.

Drought

Right now

This is the 1st-driest week 27 in 89 years of record at TOMICHI CREEK AT GUNNISON, CO (as of 2026-06-29; this week’s flow sits at the 1st percentile for the date). On this week’s US Drought Monitor, Gunnison County is 22% in D4 exceptional drought (2026-09-01). The law agrees: the most senior active call leaves 100% of this district’s decreed flow rights junior to the calling right this week.

Every year since 1937, week by week

Each thin row is a year at TOMICHI CREEK AT GUNNISON, CO; each cell is one week’s flow ranked against the same calendar week of every other year — warm means dry for the date, blue wet, so seasonality cancels and droughts appear as warm bands. Gaps are missing record, never a dry river. Click a year to reconstruct it on the Historical tab.

The Drought Monitor’s view since 2000

Mean share of area in each class across Gunnison, Saguache counties — the counties this district’s gages sit in, which overlap the district imperfectly. The Drought Monitor weighs soils, vegetation and local reports; it is CONTEXT beside the river’s own record above, not the water-rights picture.

The law’s own drought gauge

When water runs short, administration answers: calls reach further back in time, and more decreed rights go junior to the calling right. This is that response, weekly since 2002 — the share of this district’s decreed flow rights junior to the most senior active call. Watch it spike in the named droughts below, and linger after the river recovers.

Computed from DWR’s call record (53 calls touching this district) against the district’s rights index. Scoping is deliberately coarse — a call’s own district, or districts named in its comments — and this is administration’s RESPONSE, not a per-structure verdict (each dossier’s curtailment card does that, with stream miles). A deepening call can also reflect growing demand, not only shrinking supply.

This basin’s droughts, by its own record

DroughtSpanWeeks Trough percentileRecovery
the 2020-22 drought 2022-02-14 → 2022-07-11 21 27th (2022-03-14) 22 weeks
the 2020-22 drought 2020-09-14 → 2021-12-13 65 20th (2020-12-21) 52 weeks
the 2018 drought 2018-05-28 → 2019-07-01 57 5th (2018-11-19) 0 weeks
the 2012-13 drought 2012-04-09 → 2013-11-18 84 7th (2012-09-24) 7 weeks
the 2002 drought 2004-09-13 → 2005-03-07 25 22nd (2004-11-22) 63 weeks
the 2002 drought 2002-07-01 → 2004-02-02 83 3rd (2002-10-14) 120 weeks
unnamed dry spell 1989-09-25 → 1990-09-17 51 23rd (1990-05-21) 7 weeks
the 1981 drought 1981-02-23 → 1982-05-03 62 10th (1981-06-22) 12 weeks
unnamed dry spell 1978-12-25 → 1979-06-25 26 17th (1979-02-26) 2 weeks
the 1977 drought 1977-04-11 → 1978-05-15 57 7th (1977-08-29) 6 weeks
unnamed dry spell 1975-01-13 → 1975-08-04 29 21st (1975-03-03) 0 weeks
unnamed dry spell 1966-10-03 → 1968-01-22 68 18th (1967-06-05) 32 weeks
the 1963-64 drought 1963-08-12 → 1964-08-17 53 8th (1964-03-23) 3 weeks
the 1950s drought 1956-10-01 → 1957-06-03 35 16th (1956-12-10) 2 weeks

Detected mechanically: the 26-week smoothed percentile below the 30th for at least 20 weeks; recovered on regaining the 50th. The knobs are stated because the episode list depends on them — a different reasonable choice merges or splits episodes at the edges. Names are attached where an episode overlaps a drought Colorado already talks about.

What drought has cost here

Since 2018, federal crop insurance has paid $16,321 in drought-caused claims across Gunnison, Saguache counties — 0.0% of all insured crop losses there. The worst year was 2018 ($16,321).

USDA crop-insurance indemnities where the recorded cause of loss is drought, summed over the counties this district's gages sit in. Counties overlap water districts imperfectly, and insured-crop claims are a floor on drought damage, not a total. Source: USDA RMA cause-of-loss files.

When this basin claimed its water

Every bar is a year’s new appropriations (608 rights across 90 years of shared record), colored by that year’s wetness from the barcode above. Here the correlation is -0.04 — essentially no wet-dry pattern; here, law and settlement set the pace, not the weather. Across the state both behaviors exist: ephemeral southwest basins file after wet demonstrations, transbasin-source basins under drought — and the biggest statewide filing waves sat in the 1950s drought and after 2002, not in the wet 1980s–90s.

Appropriation dates are the CLAIMED initiation of a right, not the courthouse filing date; the record is survivor-biased (abandoned claims are absent, so failed dry-era scrambles are undercounted); and the big 1960s and 2000s spikes sit on legal events — the pre-1969-Act adjudication era and 2000s legislation — not on weather. A correlation here is a description, never a cause.

New to how a dry winter becomes a call on the river? Anatomy of a drought walks the chain in four minutes — snow to rivers to reservoirs to calls to the water table.

Snowpack — no snow on the ground at 1 SNOTEL site — normal for the date; the snow year begins in October and typically peaks around April 15. Runoff outlook — Tomichi Ck at Sargents: even odds of at least 3 kAF over 06-01 to 07-31 — 25% of a normal season, per NRCS, issued 2026-06-01 — the season’s final; new forecasts begin in January. Runoff outlook — Cochetopa Ck bl Rock Ck nr Parlin: even odds of at least 1 kAF over 06-01 to 07-31 — 22% of a normal season, per NRCS, issued 2026-06-01 — the season’s final; new forecasts begin in January. Runoff outlook — Tomichi Ck at Gunnison: even odds of at least 2 kAF over 06-01 to 07-31 — 7% of a normal season, per NRCS, issued 2026-06-01 — the season’s final; new forecasts begin in January. Full snow & runoff picture — charts, forecast history and how the forecasts have verified →

Sites, exceedance bands and sources
SNOTEL siteElev (ft)SWE (in)Median (in)% of medianTypical peak
Porphyry Creek10790 0.00.0 April 15 (17.0 in)

Tomichi Ck at Sargents — 06-01 to 07-31 volume, thousand acre-feet (chance the volume is AT LEAST this):

90%70%50%30%10%Normal
22358 12

Cochetopa Ck bl Rock Ck nr Parlin — 06-01 to 07-31 volume, thousand acre-feet (chance the volume is AT LEAST this):

90%70%50%30%10%Normal
01124 5

Tomichi Ck at Gunnison — 06-01 to 07-31 volume, thousand acre-feet (chance the volume is AT LEAST this):

90%70%50%30%10%Normal
11259 27

Snow-water equivalent and medians (1991–2020) from NRCS SNOTEL; seasonal volume forecasts from the NRCS National Water and Climate Center. Sites and forecast points are assigned to the district whose boundary contains them — snowpack that feeds this district can also sit in a neighboring headwater district. Toggle the Snow chip on the map above to see the sites.

Topology cross-check: 6 parent disagreements, 17 sizable streams not on this network (vs DWR's route framework — under review)

This flow network was built mechanically; DWR's Source Water Route Framework disagrees with it in the places below. Each row is a question a human reviewer has not yet answered — not an error verdict. Checked 18 streams, 12 agree. Know this water? Tell us →

StreamThis site routes it toDWR routes it to
Armstrong Creek the mainstem Red Jacket Gulch
Gold Creek the mainstem Quartz Creek
Stubbs Gulch the mainstem Gold Basin Creek
Pauline Creek the mainstem Cochetopa Creek
Archuleta Creek the mainstem Cochetopa Creek
West Pass Creek the mainstem Cochetopa Creek

Sizable streams DWR maps here that this network does not carry:

Agate Creek (11 mi) · Chance Gulch (10 mi) · Long Branch (10 mi) · Canyon Creek (9 mi) · Needle Creek (8 mi) · Cabin Creek (8 mi) · Owens Creek (7 mi) · No Name Creek (7 mi)

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