Full diagnostic snapshot pending — this district's weekly-style report (system status, active calls, hydrographs, anomaly flags) is produced by the nightly rotation and appears here after its first run. The tabs above are live now.
Evolution of the network
Gage flow trend & changepoints
What counts as a trend here
Computed 2026-08-20 09:26 from 33 gage(s) with cached period-of-record data. Mann-Kendall (trend) and Pettitt (changepoint) both require at least 8 years spanning at least 10 years of record. A gage below that reports no signal — which is not the same as “no change.”
Of the 33 gages with enough record, 2 are trending down and 0 up, and 3 carry a detected shift. The clearest is MICHIGAN RIVER AT WALDEN, CO., -13.0 points of its long-term median per decade over 43 years (p<0.0001). The other 30 show no clear signal either way.
| Gage | Trend | Change / decade points of median | Significance | Years | Changepoint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
▸
ILLINOIS CREEK AT WALDEN, CO. ILLWALCO |
↓ decreasing | -103.9 | p=0.004 | 25 | ~1932 |
|
▸
NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR WALDEN, CO. NOPLWACO |
no clear trend | -15.2 | p=0.094 | 26 | ~1930 |
|
▸
MICHIGAN RIVER AT WALDEN, CO. MICWLDCO |
↓ decreasing | -13.0 | p=0.000 | 43 | ~1933 |
30 other gage(s) show no significant trend or changepoint (not shown).
How the measurement network itself changed
This basin was not always measured the way it is today — the API-era record is dense and recent, the early record sparse. 5 gage(s) and 387 structure(s) report in 2026, but structure reporting only reached half its modern level around ~1973. Every historical claim below is checked against this: long-term shifts that co-move with the growth of the network carry an explicit measurement-evolution caution, and abandonment screens whose idleness begins before the modern reporting era are flagged †.
| Decade | Gages with data (median yr) | Structures reporting (median yr) |
|---|---|---|
| 1900s | 7 | 0 |
| 1910s | 1 | 0 |
| 1920s | 6 | 0 |
| 1930s | 10 | 0 |
| 1940s | 10 | 0 |
| 1950s | 4 | 32 |
| 1960s | 2 | 0 |
| 1970s | 4 | 344 |
| 1980s | 4 | 412 |
| 1990s | 4 | 436 |
| 2000s | 5 | 482 |
| 2010s | 6 | 428 |
| 2020s | 5 | 291 |
Mass-balance (network closure) trend
Structure divrec-history backfill coverage as of the last check: 53% of 123 schematic-relevant structures. Kink count trend: increasing (p=0.000), kink magnitude trend: increasing (p=0.003) across 48 qualifying year(s).
Reach gain/loss shifts (1974–2026)
Mass-balance kinks computed for every summer month back to 1974 (244 reach-snapshots) — which reaches gain or lose water, and how that has shifted across decades. Each shift is cross-checked against the observation record above: as more diversions became metered, "unaccounted" water shrinks mechanically, which can masquerade as a hydrologic shift.
- MICHIGAN RIVER AT WALDEN, CO.: reach shifted from +13 cfs to -47 cfs summer mean (more losing, p=0.012, 24 yr) [sedimentary uplands: moderate groundwater connectivity -- gain/loss shifts can be real aquifer response; corroborate with nearby well records] [2 alluvial wells within 2 mi of the gage; pooled water table -0.1 ft (1976–2024, no_trend)]
Groundwater now has its own tab: 52 monitored well(s), water-table trends, stream corridors, and the advisory depletion screen.
Reservoirs now has its own tab: 204 reservoir(s), end-of-year storage back to 1974, click-to-chart histories.
Cross-gage pattern fingerprint
Not enough gages with a long enough common-coverage window yet to fingerprint shared patterns.
Data provenance & quality
Where these numbers come from and how far they can be trusted. Grade B (4/6 points) — the components below are the finding; the letter alone is not. Sources: DWR HydroBase snapshot HydroBase_CO_20260707 (imported 2026-08-19) for history, plus the CDSS REST API for current conditions.
| Check | State | What was measured |
|---|---|---|
| gage freshness | stale | newest gage reading is 45 day(s) old (target 7) |
| diversion record | expected-lag | newest diversion record is 293 day(s) old (DWR publishes ~1 year in arrears) |
| structure coverage | partial | 53% of schematic structures have data |
Independent check: PASS — 100.0000% agreement across 100,670 stored values re-checked against DWR's authoritative record (HydroBase_CO_20260707), over 20 structures. 0 disagreement(s) beyond a 0.01 cfs tolerance. Checked 2026-08-19; a rotating sample covers the whole basin across successive runs, and the structures this report cites are checked every time.
Federal cross-check: PASS — 99.98% day-level agreement with USGS's own published records for the same gages, across 28 co-listed station(s) and 164,636 overlapping days (within max(2%, 0.5 cfs) daily). Pre-1950 records at some gages carry known between-agency day-stamp and transcription differences — scored at each year's best ±1-day alignment; residual disagreement is real historical divergence, flagged for review.
33 gage(s) / 191,617 daily values (1904-05-01–2026-07-06); 723 structure(s) with diversion records; 1262 with decreed rights. Methodology has not yet had independent expert review — treat every figure as an advisory screen, not an administrative or legal conclusion.
326 water-level measurements across 52 monitored well(s) — 17 alluvial, 12 bedrock — plus 4 administered well(s) reporting metered pumping.
What is being counted
Observation wells and pumping wells are different populations and are never conflated: water levels come from monitored observation wells, and metered pumping comes from administered wells reporting through diversion records. Click any well to chart its own record.
Well map
3D aquifer x-ray
Every aquifer unit as its own head surface, animated through time.
How the surfaces are built, and what they are not
Alluvial water table on top, Denver Basin members (Dawson, Denver, Arapahoe, Laramie–Fox Hills) stacked beneath where measured, interpolated from measured water levels. Units are never mixed; a surface exists only inside its own unit's well coverage, with no extrapolation; thin epochs are suppressed and say why. Vertical scale is exaggerated for readability and z is head elevation in feet. These are measured heads, not a calibrated groundwater model.
Water-table trends
Of 4 well(s) with enough record for a trend test: 1 declining, 1 rising.
| Fastest-declining wells | Setting | ft / decade | Span | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ NP-03 | unknown | -10.65 | 33 yr | 0.0131 |
Stream corridors — the surface connection
Where a reach's gain or loss has shifted, the wells within two miles of its anchoring gage and what their water table did over the same era.
How the corridor is assembled
For each reach whose gain/loss has shifted (Trends tab): the wells within 2 miles of its anchoring gage, their pooled water-table history over the same era, and an advisory Glover screen of lagged stream depletion from nearby metered pumping. v1 proximity = distance to the reach's anchoring gage; segment-based reach join is a flagged upgrade.
MICHIGAN RIVER AT WALDEN, CO.: 2 alluvial well(s) nearby; pooled water table -0.1 ft (1976–2024, no_trend, p=0.6922). Glover screen: 0.3 cfs of nearby metered alluvial pumping → est. lagged depletion 0.3–0.3 cfs (uncalibrated T/S ranges; flagged for SPDSS calibration, AWAS cross-check, and expert review — DWR's AWAS is the authority).
Wells labeled by administrative world before anything else is said about them: tributary alluvium participates in the priority system; designated-basin and Denver Basin bedrock aquifers are governed differently and are excluded from stream-connection reasoning. Read bedrock declines differently too: deep bedrock aquifers recharge negligibly on human timescales, so a falling bedrock level is storage mining — effectively permanent — not a drought response that a wet year undoes. All screens advisory.
204 reservoir(s) with 16,908 storage measurement(s), 1974–2026. Basin storage as of 2025-10-31 (the record's own end — reservoir records publish ~annually): 21,106 AF across 62 reservoir(s).
Why storage matters to the flow network
Storage change is real water the mass balance must credit — a losing reach beside a filling reservoir isn't losing water, it's banking it.
Reservoir map — how full is each vessel?
What “full” is measured against
Bubble size is proportional to a reservoir's record-high storage. Fill is its last recorded storage as a share of its surveyed capacity (USACE National Inventory of Dams) where a confident NID match exists — the tooltip names the matched dam — and as a share of its own record high otherwise. A wrong capacity would be worse than an honest record high, so only confident joins upgrade.
A dashed teal ring marks reservoirs reporting live DWR telemetry: their fill reflects yesterday's storage, is drawn as a dotted tail on charts, and is treated as provisional until the next verified HydroBase snapshot supersedes it.
Basin storage, end of each water year
End-of-water-year totals; per-year reservoir counts shown because reporting coverage varies -- a total is only comparable to years with similar counts.
Largest reservoirs on record
Click a reservoir to chart its full storage history.
| Reservoir | Last recorded storage (AF) | As of |
|---|---|---|
| ▸ LAKE JOHN (4703750) | 7,092 | 2025-10-31 |
| ▸ MACFARLANE RES (4703614) | 2,732 | 2025-10-31 |
| ▸ LAUNE RESERVOIR (4703742) | 2,602 | 2025-10-31 |
| ▸ NORTH MICHIGAN CK RES (4703753) | 1,090 | 2025-10-31 |
| ▸ WALDEN RESERVOIR (4703627) | 902 | 2025-10-31 |
| ▸ MEADOW CREEK RES (4704335) | 872 | 2025-10-31 |
| ▸ BIG CREEK RESERVOIR (4703595) | 730 | 2025-10-31 |
| ▸ LAKE JOHN ANNEX (4703699) | 692 | 2025-10-31 |
Decreed rights on this network run from 1880-05-15 to 2021-12-31. 25 abandonment screens and 390 compliance flags are listed below as leads for review — a screen is not an abandonment and a flag is not a violation.
Rights on file: 1869 across 1262 structure(s); 60 structure(s) carry 0 court-case references. Advisory reading aids on public DWR data — not administrative or legal conclusions.
Abandonment radar (25 screens)
Absolute rights with 10+ years of no recorded diversions. Screens only — storage, alternate points, and plan operations can explain nonuse lawfully. And diversion REPORTING itself only reached its modern level ~1973 — idleness that begins before then may be unreported use, not nonuse (flagged † below).
- SURPRISE DITCH (4700913) (1902-09-12, 10.0 cfs decreed): last active 1975 — 49 years idle
- ANTELOPE NO 1 DITCH (4701012) (1908-05-01, 5.5 cfs decreed): last active 1976 — 48 years idle
- HUGH GRIFFITH DITCH (4700677) (1888-05-01, 5.4 cfs decreed): last active 1998 — 26 years idle
- SHEARER SPRING RES #2 (4703639) (1989-11-30, 0.0 cfs decreed): last active 2004 — 20 years idle
- DWR SPG (4702001) (1935-05-10, 0.0 cfs decreed): last active 2005 — 19 years idle
- SHEARER SPRINGS RES #1 (4703638) (1939-12-31, 0.0 cfs decreed): last active 2005 — 19 years idle
- ROBBIES POND (4703670) (1967-07-15, 0.0 cfs decreed): last active 2005 — 19 years idle
- SOUTH CASE CONTOUR (4703682) (1977-12-31, 2.0 cfs decreed): last active 2005 — 19 years idle
- DEER CREEK SPRING (4701076) (1955-12-31, 0.0 cfs decreed): last active 2006 — 18 years idle
- BLUEBILL POND (4703544) (1967-08-15, 2.0 cfs decreed): last active 2006 — 18 years idle
Compliance screens (390 advisory flags)
Screened 566 of 1262 structures with rights (648 have diversion history on file). A flag is a lead for expert review — augmentation plans, exchanges, and free-river conditions can make over-decree diversions lawful and are deliberately not modeled.
- MUTUAL DITCH (4700786): Observed p99 daily rate 167.4 cfs (max 177.1) exceeds total decreed absolute 158.0 cfs across 9366 recorded day(s).
- MIDLAND DITCH (4700774): Observed p99 daily rate 150.0 cfs (max 212.7) exceeds total decreed absolute 90.0 cfs across 20235 recorded day(s).
- INDEPENDENT DITCH (4700684): Observed p99 daily rate 120.0 cfs (max 120.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 113.0 cfs across 9367 recorded day(s).
- STAPLES DITCH 1 (4700895): Observed p99 daily rate 105.0 cfs (max 116.1) exceeds total decreed absolute 100.0 cfs across 7914 recorded day(s).
- INDEPENDENCE DITCH (4700683): Observed p99 daily rate 95.0 cfs (max 95.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 52.0 cfs across 7431 recorded day(s).
- SENECA DITCH (4700868): Observed p99 daily rate 91.4 cfs (max 93.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 73.0 cfs across 7206 recorded day(s).
- LITTLE NELLIE DITCH (4700730): Observed p99 daily rate 91.0 cfs (max 101.4) exceeds total decreed absolute 89.2 cfs across 6409 recorded day(s).
- MALLON DITCH NO 2 (4700748): Observed p99 daily rate 88.0 cfs (max 100.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 80.0 cfs across 7296 recorded day(s).
- LEWIS DITCH (4700723): Observed p99 daily rate 80.0 cfs (max 80.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 40.0 cfs across 6628 recorded day(s).
- BIG GRIZZLY DITCH (4700512): Observed p99 daily rate 78.0 cfs (max 96.7) exceeds total decreed absolute 66.7 cfs across 7574 recorded day(s).
Seniority (top structures by decreed rate)
| Structure | Senior priority date | Rights | Decreed abs (cfs) | Decreed abs (AF) | Conditional? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICHIGAN DITCH (4704603) | 1902-07-10 | 5 | 275.0 | 0 | — |
| WOLFER DITCH (4700961) | 1888-05-08 | 5 | 218.5 | 0 | — |
| BUDDY'S POND (4703546) | 1972-12-31 | 2 | 206.0 | 29 | — |
| ROSS POND (4703582) | 1982-12-31 | 2 | 204.5 | 14 | — |
| NORTH HACKLEY POND (4703685) | 1986-12-31 | 2 | 204.5 | 5 | — |
| SOUTH HACKLEY POND (4703686) | 1986-12-31 | 2 | 204.5 | 4 | — |
| RODRIQUEZ POND (4703687) | 1986-12-31 | 2 | 204.5 | 40 | — |
| SCHROEDER POND (4703697) | 2002-12-31 | 2 | 185.0 | 3 | — |
| MUTUAL DITCH (4700786) | 1888-08-29 | 4 | 158.0 | 0 | — |
| HOWARD DITCH (4700672) | 1888-05-25 | 5 | 136.0 | 0 | yes |
| INDEPENDENT DITCH (4700684) | 1888-09-01 | 3 | 113.0 | 0 | — |
| OVERLAND DITCH (4700819) | 1888-05-31 | 9 | 108.3 | 0 | — |
| SQUIBOB DITCH (4700893) | 1888-04-30 | 7 | 106.5 | 0 | — |
| DARBY DITCH (4700584) | 1901-05-31 | 3 | 103.9 | 0 | — |
| HUBBARD DITCH 2 (4700674) | 1889-04-02 | 7 | 103.0 | 0 | — |
No inventory or legal-document changes detected since the daily watch began.
If a call were placed at a given seniority, which structures in this basin would be out of priority, and how much of their decreed rate would be curtailed? Computed from this basin's cached decrees.
What this does and doesn't model. Seniority arithmetic only: every right junior to the call is treated as curtailed. It does not model reach applicability — structures downstream of the calling point are not administered by it — and it applies no futile-call judgment. Read it as “who is junior to this date, and by how much,” not as a prediction of what the Division Engineer would actually order.
Pick a calling right
Real decrees from this basin, ordered by administration number — that is, by actual seniority. The years will look out of order, and that is correct: an administration number encodes the adjudication date as well as the appropriation date, so a right appropriated in 1970 can be administered ahead of one from 1950. A senior call curtails almost everything; a junior one curtails almost nothing.
Or enter an administration number directly
DWR administration numbers encode appropriation and adjudication dates; lower is more senior.