Evolution of the network
Gage flow trend & changepoints
What counts as a trend here
Computed 2026-08-20 08:38 from 14 gage(s) with cached period-of-record data. Mann-Kendall (trend) and Pettitt (changepoint) both require at least 8 years spanning at least 10 years of record. A gage below that reports no signal — which is not the same as “no change.”
Of the 14 gages with enough record, 4 are trending down and 0 up, and 2 carry a detected shift. The clearest is CITY OF WALSENBURG COLER OUTLET DITCH BELOW MARTIN RESERVOIR, -143.5 points of its long-term median per decade over 18 years (p=0.0024). The other 10 show no clear signal either way.
| Gage | Trend | Change / decade points of median | Significance | Years | Changepoint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
▸
CUCHARAS RIVER BELOW CUCHARAS RESERVOIR CUCBCRCO |
↓ decreasing | -359.2 | p=0.003 | 28 | ~2010 |
|
▸
CITY OF WALSENBURG COLER OUTLET DITCH BELOW MARTIN RESERVOIR WCOBMRCO |
↓ decreasing | -143.5 | p=0.002 | 18 | ~2019 |
|
▸
CITY OF WALSENBURG WATER SUPPLY DIVERSION AT CUCHARAS RIVER WWSCURCO |
↓ decreasing | -24.3 | p=0.041 | 18 | — |
|
▸
CUCHARAS RIVER AT BOYD RANCH NEAR LA VETA CRBRLVCO |
↓ decreasing | -3.6 | p=0.021 | 87 | — |
10 other gage(s) show no significant trend or changepoint (not shown).
How the measurement network itself changed
This basin was not always measured the way it is today — the API-era record is dense and recent, the early record sparse. 13 gage(s) and 60 structure(s) report in 2026, but structure reporting only reached half its modern level around ~1941. Every historical claim below is checked against this: long-term shifts that co-move with the growth of the network carry an explicit measurement-evolution caution, and abandonment screens whose idleness begins before the modern reporting era are flagged †.
| Decade | Gages with data (median yr) | Structures reporting (median yr) |
|---|---|---|
| 1900s | 0 | 1 |
| 1910s | 0 | 61 |
| 1920s | 1 | 0 |
| 1930s | 1 | 16 |
| 1940s | 1 | 114 |
| 1950s | 1 | 0 |
| 1960s | 1 | 24 |
| 1970s | 1 | 58 |
| 1980s | 1 | 87 |
| 1990s | 2 | 66 |
| 2000s | 3 | 56 |
| 2010s | 7 | 95 |
| 2020s | 13 | 82 |
Mass-balance (network closure) trend
Structure divrec-history backfill coverage as of the last check: 7% of 718 schematic-relevant structures. 0 year(s) clear the 30% coverage gate so far -- the trend activates automatically once qualifying years span a full decade. No action needed; the nightly backfill keeps extending the record.
Reach gain/loss shifts (1993–2026)
Mass-balance kinks computed for every summer month back to 1993 (255 reach-snapshots) — which reaches gain or lose water, and how that has shifted across decades. Each shift is cross-checked against the observation record above: as more diversions became metered, "unaccounted" water shrinks mechanically, which can masquerade as a hydrologic shift.
- CUCHARAS RIVER AT HARRISON BRIDGE NEAR LA VETA, CO: reach shifted from +3 cfs to +43 cfs summer mean (more gaining, p=0.009, 22 yr) [sedimentary plains/foothills: moderate groundwater connectivity -- gain/loss shifts can be real aquifer response; corroborate with nearby well records]
- CUCHARAS RIVER BELOW CUCHARAS RESERVOIR: reach shifted from -17 cfs to +44 cfs summer mean (more gaining, p=0.039, 23 yr) [sedimentary plains/foothills: moderate groundwater connectivity -- gain/loss shifts can be real aquifer response; corroborate with nearby well records]
Groundwater now has its own tab: 88 monitored well(s), water-table trends, stream corridors, and the advisory depletion screen.
Reservoirs now has its own tab: 43 reservoir(s), end-of-year storage back to 1901, click-to-chart histories.
Cross-gage pattern fingerprint
Over the 18-year window with full coverage (2009–2026), the dominant shared pattern across 3 gage(s) explains 61% of year-to-year variance (almost certainly a basin-wide climate/snowpack driver).
CRBRLVCO doesn't move with that shared pattern -- a real, localized signal (a new diversion, land-use change, or a gage-specific data problem) worth a closer look, not necessarily noise.
Data provenance & quality
Where these numbers come from and how far they can be trusted. Grade C (3/6 points) — the components below are the finding; the letter alone is not. Sources: DWR HydroBase snapshot HydroBase_CO_20260707 (imported 2026-08-19) for history, plus the CDSS REST API for current conditions.
| Check | State | What was measured |
|---|---|---|
| gage freshness | stale | newest gage reading is 45 day(s) old (target 7) |
| diversion record | expected-lag | newest diversion record is 293 day(s) old (DWR publishes ~1 year in arrears) |
| structure coverage | sparse | 7% of schematic structures have data |
Independent check: PASS — 100.0000% agreement across 232,577 stored values re-checked against DWR's authoritative record (HydroBase_CO_20260707), over 20 structures. 0 disagreement(s) beyond a 0.01 cfs tolerance. Checked 2026-08-19; a rotating sample covers the whole basin across successive runs, and the structures this report cites are checked every time.
Federal cross-check: PASS — 100.00% day-level agreement with USGS's own published records for the same gages, across 2 co-listed station(s) and 20,246 overlapping days (within max(2%, 0.5 cfs) daily). Pre-1950 records at some gages carry known between-agency day-stamp and transcription differences — scored at each year's best ±1-day alignment; residual disagreement is real historical divergence, flagged for review.
14 gage(s) / 98,216 daily values (1923-01-01–2026-07-06); 218 structure(s) with diversion records; 1044 with decreed rights. Methodology has not yet had independent expert review — treat every figure as an advisory screen, not an administrative or legal conclusion.
366 water-level measurements across 88 monitored well(s) — 42 alluvial, 0 bedrock — plus 0 administered well(s) reporting metered pumping.
What is being counted
Observation wells and pumping wells are different populations and are never conflated: water levels come from monitored observation wells, and metered pumping comes from administered wells reporting through diversion records. Click any well to chart its own record.
Well map
3D aquifer x-ray
Every aquifer unit as its own head surface, animated through time.
How the surfaces are built, and what they are not
Alluvial water table on top, Denver Basin members (Dawson, Denver, Arapahoe, Laramie–Fox Hills) stacked beneath where measured, interpolated from measured water levels. Units are never mixed; a surface exists only inside its own unit's well coverage, with no extrapolation; thin epochs are suppressed and say why. Vertical scale is exaggerated for readability and z is head elevation in feet. These are measured heads, not a calibrated groundwater model.
Water-table trends
Of 4 well(s) with enough record for a trend test: 1 declining, 3 rising.
| Fastest-declining wells | Setting | ft / decade | Span | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ SC02906719ACA | alluvial | -0.42 | 34 yr | 0.002 |
Stream corridors — the surface connection
Where a reach's gain or loss has shifted, the wells within two miles of its anchoring gage and what their water table did over the same era.
How the corridor is assembled
For each reach whose gain/loss has shifted (Trends tab): the wells within 2 miles of its anchoring gage, their pooled water-table history over the same era, and an advisory Glover screen of lagged stream depletion from nearby metered pumping. v1 proximity = distance to the reach's anchoring gage; segment-based reach join is a flagged upgrade.
CUCHARAS RIVER AT HARRISON BRIDGE NEAR LA VETA, CO: 0 alluvial well(s) nearby
Wells labeled by administrative world before anything else is said about them: tributary alluvium participates in the priority system; designated-basin and Denver Basin bedrock aquifers are governed differently and are excluded from stream-connection reasoning. Read bedrock declines differently too: deep bedrock aquifers recharge negligibly on human timescales, so a falling bedrock level is storage mining — effectively permanent — not a drought response that a wet year undoes. All screens advisory.
43 reservoir(s) with 9,076 storage measurement(s), 1901–2016. Basin storage as of 2016-05-31 (the record's own end — reservoir records publish ~annually): 5 AF across 2 reservoir(s).
Why storage matters to the flow network
Storage change is real water the mass balance must credit — a losing reach beside a filling reservoir isn't losing water, it's banking it.
Reservoir map — how full is each vessel?
What “full” is measured against
Bubble size is proportional to a reservoir's record-high storage. Fill is its last recorded storage as a share of its surveyed capacity (USACE National Inventory of Dams) where a confident NID match exists — the tooltip names the matched dam — and as a share of its own record high otherwise. A wrong capacity would be worse than an honest record high, so only confident joins upgrade.
A dashed teal ring marks reservoirs reporting live DWR telemetry: their fill reflects yesterday's storage, is drawn as a dotted tail on charts, and is treated as provisional until the next verified HydroBase snapshot supersedes it.
Basin storage, end of each water year
End-of-water-year totals; per-year reservoir counts shown because reporting coverage varies -- a total is only comparable to years with similar counts.
Largest reservoirs on record
Click a reservoir to chart its full storage history.
| Reservoir | Last recorded storage (AF) | As of |
|---|---|---|
| ▸ COLER SEEPAGE RESERVOIR (1603893) | 2,239 | 1969-10-01 |
| ▸ LAKE OEHM RESERVOIR (COLER SYSTEM OUTLET (1603716) | 1,717 | 2013-10-30 |
| ▸ LAKE MIRIAM RESERVOIR (1603715) | 1,636 | 2013-10-30 |
| ▸ MARTIN RESERVOIR (1603832) | 879 | 1967-10-01 |
| ▸ MARIA STEVENS RESERVOIR (1603718) | 799 | 2013-10-30 |
| ▸ WALSENBURG RESERVOIR (1603724) | 479 | 2013-10-30 |
| ▸ BRITTON RESERVOIR NO 3 (1603861) | 240 | 1961-11-01 |
| ▸ CASTLE ROCK RESERVOIR (1603763) | 175 | 1961-10-01 |
Decreed rights on this network run from 1863-05-30 to 2021-01-18. 25 abandonment screens and 91 compliance flags are listed below as leads for review — a screen is not an abandonment and a flag is not a violation.
Rights on file: 1229 across 1044 structure(s); 218 structure(s) carry 0 court-case references. Advisory reading aids on public DWR data — not administrative or legal conclusions.
Abandonment radar (25 screens)
Absolute rights with 10+ years of no recorded diversions. Screens only — storage, alternate points, and plan operations can explain nonuse lawfully. And diversion REPORTING itself only reached its modern level ~1941 — idleness that begins before then may be unreported use, not nonuse (flagged † below).
- ANTONIO D VALDEZ DITCH (1600806) (1907-09-19, 4.0 cfs decreed): last active 1924 — 101 years idle † predates modern reporting era — last recorded activity predates this basin's modern reporting era (~1941) -- early absence of record is weak evidence of nonuse
- FIELDEN RESERVOIR (1603777) (1896-10-01, 0.0 cfs decreed): last active 1924 — 101 years idle † predates modern reporting era — last recorded activity predates this basin's modern reporting era (~1941) -- early absence of record is weak evidence of nonuse
- FROHLICH & PAUL DITCH (1600810) (1883-06-05, 2.0 cfs decreed): last active 1945 — 80 years idle
- PAPOOSE SPRING (1600873) (1934-04-30, 0.0 cfs decreed): last active 1945 — 80 years idle
- J B FARR DITCH (1600916) (1891-06-20, 0.4 cfs decreed): last active 1945 — 80 years idle
- GOEMMER DITCH (1600882) (1904-04-30, 1.0 cfs decreed): last active 1949 — 76 years idle
- ARNOLD DITCH NO 2 (1600928) (1873-06-01, 2.0 cfs decreed): last active 1949 — 76 years idle
- JOHN GRIBBLE DITCH (1600794) (1883-04-10, 1.6 cfs decreed): last active 1964 — 61 years idle
- SAMUEL J CAPPS DITCH (1600927) (1884-06-01, 0.5 cfs decreed): last active 1969 — 56 years idle
- BRESSAN SPRING DITCH (1600824) (1921-07-31, 1.2 cfs decreed): last active 1970 — 55 years idle
Compliance screens (91 advisory flags)
Screened 128 of 1044 structures with rights (147 have diversion history on file). A flag is a lead for expert review — augmentation plans, exchanges, and free-river conditions can make over-decree diversions lawful and are deliberately not modeled.
- LAKE MIRIAM DITCH (1600584): Observed p99 daily rate 50.0 cfs (max 104.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 23.1 cfs across 19054 recorded day(s). Structure holds an Augmentation-use decree -- diversions above the direct-flow decree can be lawful under plan operations; interpret with care.
- BUTTE DITCH (1600574): Observed p99 daily rate 15.9 cfs (max 43.6) exceeds total decreed absolute 8.0 cfs across 16039 recorded day(s).
- WALSENBURG DITCH (1600636): Observed p99 daily rate 15.0 cfs (max 29.8) exceeds total decreed absolute 5.6 cfs across 29225 recorded day(s).
- DURAN DITCH (1600626): Observed p99 daily rate 13.9 cfs (max 38.4) exceeds total decreed absolute 6.5 cfs across 22092 recorded day(s). Structure holds an Augmentation-use decree -- diversions above the direct-flow decree can be lawful under plan operations; interpret with care.
- KUHN RADCLIFF PIPELINE (1600869): Observed p99 daily rate 12.0 cfs (max 12.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 0.0 cfs across 202 recorded day(s).
- OSO DITCH (1600608): Observed p99 daily rate 10.0 cfs (max 10.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 2.0 cfs across 12842 recorded day(s).
- SPANISH PEAKS DITCH (1600622): Observed p99 daily rate 10.0 cfs (max 13.0) exceeds total decreed absolute 7.9 cfs across 34972 recorded day(s).
- FRANCISCO DAIGRE MILL (1600628): Observed p99 daily rate 8.5 cfs (max 15.3) exceeds total decreed absolute 7.0 cfs across 25889 recorded day(s).
- NORTH VETA CANON DITCH (1600896): Observed p99 daily rate 8.0 cfs (max 15.9) exceeds total decreed absolute 6.0 cfs across 14392 recorded day(s). Structure holds an Augmentation-use decree -- diversions above the direct-flow decree can be lawful under plan operations; interpret with care.
- MEXICAN DITCH (1600604): Observed p99 daily rate 7.2 cfs (max 14.2) exceeds total decreed absolute 4.9 cfs across 22346 recorded day(s).
Seniority (top structures by decreed rate)
| Structure | Senior priority date | Rights | Decreed abs (cfs) | Decreed abs (AF) | Conditional? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOLITA DITCH (1600579) | 1910-05-23 | 1 | 48.0 | 0 | — |
| LAKE MIRIAM DITCH (1600584) | 1868-05-03 | 9 | 23.1 | 0 | — |
| SOUTH ABEYTA HIGHLAND (1600870) | 1888-02-14 | 1 | 12.8 | 0 | — |
| GOMEZ DITCH (1600577) | 1868-06-08 | 2 | 10.2 | 0 | — |
| MARCHIORI DITCH (1600845) | 1907-12-31 | 1 | 10.0 | 0 | — |
| WALSENBURG PIPELINE (1600637) | 1863-05-30 | 8 | 9.4 | 0 | — |
| BUTTE DITCH (1600574) | 1871-05-01 | 4 | 8.0 | 0 | — |
| SPANISH PEAKS DITCH (1600622) | 1863-05-30 | 3 | 7.9 | 0 | — |
| FRANCISCO DAIGRE MILL (1600628) | 1863-05-30 | 3 | 7.0 | 0 | — |
| DURAN DITCH (1600626) | 1871-06-13 | 6 | 6.5 | 0 | — |
| MARTIN DITCH NO 1 (1600865) | 1886-04-01 | 3 | 6.4 | 0 | — |
| ROCKY FLAT DITCH (1600614) | 1871-05-01 | 5 | 6.2 | 0 | — |
| MENEGATTI FLOOD DITCH (1600647) | 1913-08-31 | 1 | 6.0 | 0 | — |
| NORTH VETA CANON DITCH (1600896) | 1873-03-01 | 1 | 6.0 | 0 | — |
| WALSENBURG DITCH (1600636) | 1866-04-30 | 1 | 5.6 | 0 | — |
No inventory or legal-document changes detected since the daily watch began.
If a call were placed at a given seniority, which structures in this basin would be out of priority, and how much of their decreed rate would be curtailed? Computed from this basin's cached decrees.
What this does and doesn't model. Seniority arithmetic only: every right junior to the call is treated as curtailed. It does not model reach applicability — structures downstream of the calling point are not administered by it — and it applies no futile-call judgment. Read it as “who is junior to this date, and by how much,” not as a prediction of what the Division Engineer would actually order.
Pick a calling right
Real decrees from this basin, ordered by administration number — that is, by actual seniority. The years will look out of order, and that is correct: an administration number encodes the adjudication date as well as the appropriation date, so a right appropriated in 1970 can be administered ahead of one from 1950. A senior call curtails almost everything; a junior one curtails almost nothing.
Or enter an administration number directly
DWR administration numbers encode appropriation and adjudication dates; lower is more senior.
| Gage ⇅ | Station ⇅ | Avg cfs Aug 10–Aug 16 ⇅ |
% Hist Median ⇅ | Rank ⇅ | Δ1wk ⇅ | Δ4wk ⇅ | Yrs ⇅ | Status ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CUCBCRCO | CUCHARAS RIVER BELOW CUCHARAS RESERVOIR | 0.0 | 0% | 0 | -0 | -0 | 26.2 | SHORT_RECORD |
| CRHBLVCO | CUCHARAS RIVER AT HARRISON BRIDGE NEAR LA VETA, CO | 0.0 | 0% | 0 | +0 | +0 | 25.7 | SHORT_RECORD |
| WWSCURCO | CITY OF WALSENBURG WATER SUPPLY DIVERSION AT CUCHARAS RIVER | 0.0 | 0% | 0 | +0 | +0 | 17.1 | SHORT_RECORD |
| WCLOUTCO | CITY OF WALSENBURG CITY LAKE OUTFLOW | 0.0 | 0% | 0 | -0 | -0 | 14.4 | SHORT_RECORD |
| WCOBMRCO | CITY OF WALSENBURG COLER OUTLET DITCH BELOW MARTIN RESERVOIR | 0.0 | 0% | 0 | +0 | -0 | 17.2 | SHORT_RECORD |
| LVMPCRCO | LA VETA MUNICIPAL PIPELINE AT CUCHARAS RIVER, CO | 0.1 | 16% | 0 | -0 | -0 | 16.9 | SHORT_RECORD |
| GOMDITCO | GOMEZ DITCH | 0.0 | 0% | 0 | +0 | +0 | 10.4 | SHORT_RECORD |
| GOMRETCO | GOMEZ DITCH CITY RETURN FLOW | 0.0 | 0% | 0 | +0 | +0 | 10.4 | SHORT_RECORD |
| MEXDITCO | MEXICAN DITCH | 0.0 | 0% | 0 | +0 | +0 | 10.3 | SHORT_RECORD |
| LVRET1CO | LA VETA #1 RETURN FLOW | 0.0 | 0% | 0 | +0 | +0 | 10.3 | SHORT_RECORD |
| CRHW10CO | CUCHARAS RIVER AT HIGHWAY 10 | 0.6 | 114% | 51 | +1 | +1 | 8.3 | SHORT_RECORD |
| CRBRLVCO | CUCHARAS RIVER AT BOYD RANCH NEAR LA VETA | 2.5 | 18% | 0 | +1 | +0 | 85.9 | OK |
Call details in gantt above
11 alert(s) · 6 warning(s) · 12 info. Each gage contributes at most one flag per category (its single most-severe match), so this list shouldn't multiply-count the same underlying condition.