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Fountain Creek

Division 2 · Water District 10 · As of 2026-08-19 03:00 MDT
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Fountain Creek on the ground — the ditches, wells, reservoirs and gages of Water District 10 · clicktap anything for its record

Snowpack — no snow on the ground at 1 SNOTEL site — normal for the date; the snow year begins in October and typically peaks around April 23. Runoff outlook — Pueblo Reservoir Inflow: even odds of at least 118 kAF over 06-01 to 09-30 — 42% of a normal season, per NRCS, issued 2026-06-01 — the season’s final; new forecasts begin in January. Full snow & runoff picture — charts, forecast history and how the forecasts have verified →

Sites, exceedance bands and sources
SNOTEL siteElev (ft)SWE (in)Median (in)% of medianTypical peak
Glen Cove11410 0.30.0 April 23 (5.7 in)

Pueblo Reservoir Inflow — 06-01 to 09-30 volume, thousand acre-feet (chance the volume is AT LEAST this):

90%70%50%30%10%Normal
6094118142176 280

Snow-water equivalent and medians (1991–2020) from NRCS SNOTEL; seasonal volume forecasts from the NRCS National Water and Climate Center. Sites and forecast points are assigned to the district whose boundary contains them — snowpack that feeds this district can also sit in a neighboring headwater district. Toggle the Snow chip on the map above to see the sites.

Topology cross-check: 12 parent disagreements, 13 sizable streams not on this network (vs DWR's route framework — under review)

This flow network was built mechanically; DWR's Source Water Route Framework disagrees with it in the places below. Each row is a question a human reviewer has not yet answered — not an error verdict. Checked 26 streams, 14 agree. Know this water? Tell us →

StreamThis site routes it toDWR routes it to
Arkansas River the mainstem nan
Beaver Creek the mainstem Monument Creek
Goat Camp Creek the mainstem Lehman Run
Goat Camp Creek the mainstem Deadmans Creek
Jackson Creek the mainstem Monument Creek
Black Squirrel Creek the mainstem Monument Creek
West Monument Creek the mainstem Monument Creek
East Fork Sand Creek (AKA Bierstadt Creek) the mainstem Sand Creek

Sizable streams DWR maps here that this network does not carry:

Williams Creek (27 mi) · Spring Brook (14 mi) · Shooks Run (10 mi) · Bear Creek (10 mi) · Crystola Creek (7 mi) · Porter Creek (6 mi) · Ruxton Creek (6 mi) · Crystal Creek (5 mi)

Snow and runoff

Snow-water equivalent, WY2026

No snow on the ground — normal for the date; the snow year begins in October. The chart shows the full water year just ending.

SNOTEL siteElev (ft)SWE (in)Median (in)% of medianTypical peak
Glen Cove11410 0.30.0 April 23 (5.7 in)

NRCS SNOTEL, daily. Sites are assigned to the district whose boundary contains them — the snow that feeds this district can also sit in a neighboring headwater district.

Two ways a snow year goes wrong (2005–2026)

A bad snow year here comes in two flavors (both called snow droughtA winter that shorts the snowpack. It happens two ways: a dry one, where the snow never comes, and a warm one, where near-normal snow falls but melts off weeks early -- and the river feels them differently.), and the river feels them differently. In 7 of the last 22 winters the snow never came — the pack peaked below 80% of its median. In 1 more, the snow came but left early — a near-normal peak melted out two weeks or more ahead of its usual date, sending the water down before the season needed it. This year was one of the dry ones: the pack peaked at 46% of median.

The snow never came: 2006, 2011, 2012, 2018, 2022, 2023, 2026. The snow left early: 2020.

Computed by this site from 1 SNOTEL site’ full daily records (NRCS AWDB, back to 2005). Each year is measured against each site’s own multi-decade median — not the 1991–2020 normal the chart above uses — so the 1980s grade against a fair baseline. Peak and melt-out need 85% of the season’s days on the record; thin years are dropped, not guessed. Derived from snow measurements alone — it cannot tell dry-from-warm causes apart, only what the snowpack did.

Runoff outlook — Pueblo Reservoir Inflow

NRCS's final issue (2026-06-01) calls it even odds that at least 118 kAF arrives over 06-01 to 09-30 — 42% of a normal season; almost certainly at least 60, probably not more than 176. Our own record at this gage shows 12 kAF so far this period (partial record: 36 of 92 days). New forecasts begin in January. How to read these numbers →

90% chance of at least70% chance of at least50% chance of at least30% chance of at least10% chance of at leastNormalObserved
6094118142176 280 12*

How good are these forecasts here? (1966–2025)

Grading every April issue against what the river then delivered, measured at this gage’s own record — 52 seasons: the median miss of the 50% forecast is 32%, with a high bias of 2%, and the observed volume landed inside the stated 10–90% band 56% of the time (a calibrated forecast would say 80%).

Computed by this site: NRCS's archived April issues (their period as issued each year) against the observed volume in DWR’s published record; years with under 90% daily coverage are dropped, not summed. A grade of the forecast, never of the forecasters — these are hard rivers. How this point ranks among every graded Colorado forecast point →

What April snow has meant for this river (2005–2025)

Across 18 measured years, April snowpack has explained only part of this river’s season — the dots below scatter widely, so read any single year’s snow number loosely here. In warm, early-melt years the river delivered a median of 76% of a normal season, against 109% in typical years — the timing of the melt matters, not just its size.

Computed by this site: the district’s April 1 SWE (% of each SNOTEL site’s own-record median) against the observed April–July volume at this gage (% of its median season) — a fixed window every year, unlike the forecast grades above, which use each issue’s own period. The slope is fit so single wild years can’t steer it (Theil–Sen, log space); years missing 10% of their days are dropped.